Sunday, May 07, 2006

Who will win the Tamil Nadu polls?

To arrive at the winner, I shall use a little arithmetic. Assumptions are based on news reports and my own instinct.

Total votes polled = 100

Number of votes garnered by Lok Paritran, Forward Block & T. Rajendar's Party = 1

Number of votes polled by BJP = 1.5

Number of votes polled by Pudhiya Tamizhagam = 0.5

Number of votes polled by independents and others = 2

Net votes left = 95

Number of votes vijay kanth's party will poll = 7 to 9.

Net votes left = 86 to 88.

Number of votes Vaiko + Dalit Panthers & others are expected to pull = 4

Number of votes AIADMK will poll = 39

Number of votes AIADMK front will poll = 39 + 4 = 43.

Number of votes remaining 43 to 45.

If Vijay Kanth polls 9, DMK will end up with 45 votes.

If Vijay Kanth polls 7, DMK will end up with 43.

Either way, DMK front might just pip AIADMK in the polls.

May 11th will tell us how wrong I was with my forecast.

4 Comments:

Blogger ABC of XYZ said...

Anantha, I hate u for this verdict.

10:48 PM  
Anonymous Vijay Krishna said...

Adengappa!

So, LP are going to win 2.34 seats. Great news!

11:32 PM  
Blogger Doctor Bruno said...

Forget that Lok... they are not even going to get 1000 votes

11:13 PM  
Blogger obiewan said...

u are a champ for this prediction! Boy, are u clarivoyant!

7:06 PM  

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